Shade T Shutters

In review or revision

• ST Shutters (2025) Revisiting forgotten experiments: Scodel, Minas, and why Nash’s Equilibrium was incomplete. In review
• ST Shutters (2025) Urban economic development as ecological succession. In review
• S Pourshahabi, ST Shutters, R Muneepeerakul (2025) Evolution of indirect vulnerabilities in interdependent networks. In revision
• D Lienard, V Verma, M Simeone, A Walker, E Meyer, J Wang, M Bertau, B Birman, E Han, F Risopoulos-Pichler, M Schlosser, E Schernhammer, ST Shutters, G Steiner, J Weitzer, L Zenk, M Kittilson, M Laubichler (2025) Resonance of Political Messaging on TikTok in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. In review
• J Wang, J Lobo, ST Shutters, D Strumsky (2025) Comparing AI and Non-AI Inventions: Empirical Insights on Knowledge Recombination, Novelty, and Impact. In review
• L Zenk, K Dvorkina, J Weitzer, E Han, D Lienhard, M Schlosser, M Bertau, MD Laubichler, F Rispoulos-Pichler, ES Schernhammer, ST Shutters, G Steiner (2025) Correlates of non-voting among democracy supporters in the swing state Arizona. In review
• K Waters, ST Shutters (2025) Global Coal Trade Distributions from 1988 to 2021. In review

2025 or in press

• J Zhou, K Waters, ST Shutters, T Clower (2025) Industrial structure and heterogeneity in regional development across China. Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review doi:10.1007/s40844-025-00317-2
• F Risopoulos-Pichler, MD Laubichler, D Ziganshina Leinhard, M Schlosser, E Han, L Zenk, S Strohmaier, ST Shutters, M Bertau, ES Schernhammer, G Steiner (2025) Contradictions of democracy – structural paradoxes and the erosion of collective agency. GAIA-Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society 34(3):177-179, doi:10.14512/gaia.34.3.104
• S Pourshahabi, R Muneepeerakul, ST Shutters, S Altiparmak (2025) Potential vulnerability of US green hydrogen in a world of interdependent networks. iScience 28(9):113284, doi:10.1016/j.isci.2025.113284
• ST Shutters, J Lobo (2025) Transitioning to a Green Economy: Radical Transformation or Building Upon Existing Skills? Sustainability Analytics and Modeling 5(2025):100044, doi:10.1016/j.samod.2025.100044
• SO Altiparmak, CG Thies, K Waters, ST Shutters (2025) The geoeconomics of renewable energy: China’s involvement in the European Union market. Sustainability 17(13):5998, doi:10.3390/su17135998
• ST Shutters, L Mazur (2025) Interdependence and its Discontents. In Resilience Matters: Ten Years of Transformative Thinking 23-27. L. Mazur, ed. Island Press, Washington, DC. eISBN: 978-1-64283-437-6
• SO Altiparmak, K Waters, CG Thies, ST Shutters (2025) Cornering the Market with Foreign Direct Investments: China’s Cobalt Politics. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition 7:100113, doi:10.1016/j.rset.2025.100113

2024

• Z Neal, A Cadieux, D Garlaschelli, N Gotelli, F Saracco, T Squartini, ST Shutters, W Ulrich, G Wang, G Strona (2024) Pattern Detection in Bipartite Networks: A Review of Terminology, Applications and Methods. Plos Complex Systems 1(2):e0000010, doi:10.1371/journal.pcsy.0000010
• S Pourshahabi, ST Shutters, R Muneepeerakul (2024) Quantifying economic vulnerabilities induced by interdependent networks. Plos ONE 19(7):e0306893, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0306893
• ST Shutters, J Lobo (2024) Understanding and Preparing for the Labor Impacts of Decarbonizing the U.S. Economy: A Proposed Research Agenda. Report to the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Board of Environmental Change and Society. Available at: doi:10.2139/ssrn.5009119
• J Wang, J Lobo, ST Shutters, D Strumsky (2024) Fueling a Net-Zero Future: The Influence of Government-Funded Research on Climate Change Mitigation Inventions. Environmental Innovations and Societal Transitions 51:100836, doi:10.1016/j.eist.2024.100836
• ST Shutters (2024) Urban economic structures as multidimensional networks: A complex systems framework for analyzing economic development trajectories. Complexity 2024:5521625, doi:10.1155/2024/5521625
• K Waters, SO Altiparmak, ST Shutters, CG Thies (2024) The Green Mirage: The EU’s Complex Relationship with Palm Oil Biodiesel in the Context of Environmental Narratives and Global Trade Dynamics. Energies 17(2):343, doi:10.3390/en17020343

2023

• ST Shutters, J Lobo, J Wang (2023) The Role of Occupational Socialness on the Productivity of Metropolitan Economies. SSRN Electronic Journal, doi:10.2139/ssrn.4659919
• ST Shutters, SO Altiparmak (2023) A U.S. clean energy transition can enhance national security but it’s not the bulletproof strategy you might think. Modern Diplomacy December 7, 2023
• SO Altiparmak, CG Thies, ST Shutters, K Waters (2023) Inducing New Bilateral Oil Interdependencies: The unintended impact of 2014 US-led sanctions on Russia. Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs 6(3):154-165
• ST Shutters, K Waters (2023) Industrial structure and a tradeoff between productivity and resilience. Studies in Business and Economics 17(3):224-240, doi:10.2478/sbe-2022-0057

2022

• M Rogov, C Rozenblat, M Bida, ST Shutters (2022) Evaluating multi-level resilience of Russian urban economies 2010-2019. Ecology & Society 27(4):35, doi:10.5751/ES-13691-270437
• D Rybski, DP Helmers, P Pradhan, ST Shutters, V Radeloff, V Butsic (2022) Employment and land use in the United States: cross-sectional and short-term trends reveal the importance of the 96th Meridian. arXiv 2122:01148 [physics.soc-ph], doi:10.48550/arXiv.2212.01148
• K Waters, ST Shutters (2022) Regional Economic Tightness from Rural to Populous Regions. Urban Transformations 4:15, doi:10.1186/s42854-022-00044-6
• K Waters, ST Shutters (2022) Skills-Approximate Occupations: Using Networks to Guide Jobs Retraining. Applied Network Science 7(1):1-13, doi:10.1007/s41109-022-00487-7
• ST Shutters, K Waters, R Muneepeerakul (2022) Triad analysis of global energy trade networks and implications for energy trade stability. Energies 15(10):3673, doi:10.3390/en15103673 
• ST Shutters, JM Applegate (2022) The urban wage premium is disappearing in U.S. micropolitan areas. Plos One 17(4):e0267210, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0267210
• K Waters, ST Shutters (2022) Impacts of Skills Centrality on Regional Economic Productivity and Occupational Income. Complexity 2022:5820050, doi:10.1155/2022/5820050
• K Waters, ST Shutters (2022) Co-agglomeration Networks. American Association of Geographers 2022 Conference, New York, New York. Feb. 25, 2022
• K Waters, T Clower, ST Shutters (2022) Coal Trade Networks and Trading Communities: The case of Australia. Western Regional Science Association, 61st Annual Meeting. Scottsdale, Arizona. Feb. 19, 2022
• ST Shutters, JM Applegate, E Wentz, M Batty (2022) Urbanization favors high wage earners. npj Urban Sustainability 2:6, doi:10.1038/s42949-022-00049-x

2021

• ST Shutters, H Seibert, B Alm, K Waters (2021) Industry interconnectedness and regional economic growth in Germany. Urban Science 6(1):1, doi:10.3390/urbansci6010001
• J Lobo, M Alberti, M Allen-Dumas, LMA Bettencourt, A Beukes, LA Bojórquez Tapia, W-Q Chen, A Dodge, Z Neal, A Perreira, D Pfeiffer, A Revi, D Roberts, C Rozenblat, ST Shutters, ME Smith, E Stokes, D Strumsky, J Wu (2021) A Convergence Research Perspective on Graduate Education for Sustainable Urban Systems Science. npj Urban Sustainability 1:39, doi:10.1038/s42949-021-00044-8
• ST Shutters (2021) Modelling long-term COVID-19 impacts on the U.S. workforce of 2029. Plos One 16(12):e0260797, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0260797
• D Rybski, P Pradhan, ST Shutters, V Butsic, JP Kropp (2021) Characterizing the sectoral development of cities. Plos One 16(7):e0254601, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0254601
• T Slaper, R Zipper, ST Shutters (2021) Augmenting regional clusters with intellectual property and labor force skills specializations. European Regional Science Association Annual Meeting. Bolzano, Italy. Aug. 25, 2021. Available here.
• K Waters, ST Shutters (2021) Impacts of Skills Centrality on Regional Economic Productivity: A Complex Systems Approach. Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, 51st Annual Meeting. Online. Jun. 11, 2021
• K Waters, ST Shutters (2021) Regional Economic Tightness from Rural to Populous Regions. Southern Regional Science Association, 60th Annual Meeting. (online). Apr. 6, 2021
• ST Shutters, S Kandala, F Wei, AP Kinzig (2021) Resilience of Urban Economic Structures Following the Great Recession. Sustainability 13(4):2374, doi:10.3390/su13042374
• D Painter, ST Shutters, E Wentz (2021) Innovations and Economic Output Scale with Social Interactions in the Workforce. Urban Science 5(1):21, doi:10.3390/urbansci5010021

2020

• ST Shutters, K Waters (2020). Inferring networks of interdependent labor skills to illuminate urban economic structure. Entropy 22(10):1078, doi:10.3390/e22101078
• J Lobo, M Alberti, M Allen-Dumas, E Arcaute, M Barthelemy, LA Bojorquez Tapia, S Brail, LMA Bettencourt, A Beukes, W-Q Chen, R Florida, M Gonzalez, N Grimm, M Hamilton, C Kempes, CE Kontokosta, C Mellander, ZP Neal, S Ortman, D Pfeiffer, M Price, A Revi, C Rozenblat, D Rybski, M Siemiatycki, ST Shutters, ME Smith, EC Stokes, D Strumsky, G West, D White, J Wu, VC Yang, A York, H Youn (2020). Urban Science: Integrated Theory from the First Cities to Sustainable Metropolises (January 28, 2020). SSRN Electronic Journal, doi:10.2139/ssrn.3526940

2019

• J Lobo, M Alberti, M Allen-Dumas, LMA Bettencourt, A Beukes, Z Neal, D Pfeiffer, ST Shutters, ME Smith, E Stokes, D Strumsky, J Wu (2019). Graduate Education for a New Sustainable Urban Systems Science: Designing a New PhD Curriculum Integrating Sustainability Science and Urban Science. Report from the NSF Sustainable Urban Systems (SUS) Conference. SSRN Electronic Journal, doi:10.2139/ssrn.3466322
• H Wang, Y Lu, ST Shutters, M Steptoe, F Wang, S Landis, R Maciejewski (2019). A visual analytics framework for spatiotemporal trade network analysis. IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics 25(1): doi:10.1109/TVCG.2018.2864844

2018

• ST Shutters (2018) Urban Science: Putting the "Smart" in Smart Cities. Urban Science 2(4):94 doi:10.3390/urbansci2040094
• ST Shutters, L Mazur (2018) Interdependence and Its Discontents. In Resilience Matters: Transformative Thinking in a Year of Crisis 12-16. L Mazur, ed. Island Press. Washington, DC. Available here
• ST Shutters, J Lobo, R Muneepeerakul, D Strumsky, C Mellander, M Brachert, T Farinha-Fernandes, LMA Bettencourt (2018) The relationship between density and scale in information networks: The case of urban occupational networks. PLoS ONE 13(5):e0196915, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0196915

2017

• S Candan, ST Shutters, C Fortunato (2017) A Flexible Data-Centric Approach for Modeling and Analyzing Hyper Connected Megacities. Small Wars Journal 13(7):14-Jul-2017. Available here
• ST Shutters, L Mazur (2017) Human society is totally interdependent—that’s a huge advantage, but also a huge survival risk. Quartz Ideas, 02-May-2017. Available here

2016

• ST Shutters, DD White, R Halden, A Venkatesan (2016). Report on Sociocultural Modeling for Dense Urban Areas. Arizona State University Technical Report to U.S. Army TRADOC
• R Florida, ST Shutters, G Spencer (2016) Pathways to Ontario’s Knowledge Economy: A system for identifying existing regional strengths and future prospects. Martin Prosperity Research Working Paper Series, 2016-MPIWP-001. Martin Prosperity Institute, Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto. Available here
• ST Shutters (2016) United we fall, divided we stand: Resilience and the role of interdependence. International Urban Resilience Research Network, Viewpoints. Available here
• ST Shutters (2016) Interdependent Preferences and Prospects for Global Sustainability. International Journal of Sustainability Policy and Practice 12(3):25-39, doi:10.18848/2325-1166/CGP/v12i03/25-39
• ST Shutters, R Muneepeerakul, J Lobo (2016) Constrained pathways to a creative urban economy. Urban Studies, 53(16):3439-3454, doi:10.1177/0042098015616892
• ST Shutters, R Muneepeerakul, J Lobo (2016) How hard is it for urban economies to become “green”? Environment and Planning B: Planning & Design 43(1):198-209, doi:10.1177/0265813515600108
• ST Shutters, W Herche, E King (2016) Anticipating Megacity Responses to Shocks: Using Urban Integration and Connectedness to Assess Resilience. Small Wars Journal, 12(2):26-Feb-2016. Available here.

2015

• ST Shutters (2015) Cities which plan to transform into a creative engine of innovation may face a long and difficult journey. London School of Economics, US Centre, Daily Blog on US Politics and Policy. Available here.
• MR McHale, STA Pickett, O Barbosa, DN Bunn, ML Cadenasso, DL Childers, M Gartin, G Hess, DM Iwaniec, T McPhearson, MN Peterson, AK Poole, L Rivers III, ST Shutters, W Zhou (2015) The New Global Urban Realm: Complex, Connected, Diffuse, and Diverse Social-Ecological Systems. Sustainability 7(5):5211-5240, doi:10.3390/su7055211
• ST Shutters, R Muneepeerakul, J Lobo (2015) Quantifying urban economic resilience through labour force interdependence. Palgrave Communications 1(201510):1-7, doi:10.1057/palcomms.2015.10
• ST Shutters, D Hales (2015) Altruism displays a harmonic signature in structured societies. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 18(3):2, doi:10.18564/jasss.2780
• BB Cutts, T Muñoz-Erickson, ST Shutters (2015) Public Representation in Water Management – A Network Analysis of Organization and Public Perceptions in Phoenix, Arizona. Society and Natural Resources 28(12):1340-1357, doi:10.1080/08941920.2015.1020581
• ST Shutters, D Hales (2015) The emergence of tag-mediated altruism in structured societies (Version 2). CoMSES Computational Model Library. https://www.openabm.org/model/4510/version/2.

2014

• M Qubbaj, ST Shutters, R Muneepeerakul (2014) Living in a network of scaling cities and finite resources. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 77(2):390-407, doi:10.1007/s11538-014-9949-3

2013

• R Muneepeerakul, J Lobo, ST Shutters, A Gomez-Lievano, M Qubbaj (2013) Urban Economies and Occupation Space: Can They Get “There” from “Here”? PLoS ONE 8(9):e73676, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0073676
• ST Shutters (2013) Collective action and the detrimental side. of punishment. Evolutionary Psychology 11(2):327-346, doi:10.1177/147470491301100204
• ST Shutters (2013) Cultural polarization and the role of extremist agents: a simple simulation model. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 7812:93-101, doi:10.1007/978-3-642-37210-0_11
• ST Shutters (2013) Towards a rigorous framework for studying continuous 2-player games. Journal of Theoretical Biology 321:40-43, doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.12.026
• ST Shutters, D Hales (2013) Tag-mediated altruism is contingent on how cheaters are defined. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 16(1):4, doi.org/10.18564/jasss.2090
• D Hales, ST Shutters (2013) Cooperation through the endogenous evolution of social structure. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering 126:111-126, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-03473-7_10
• ST Shutters (2013) Religion as a Superorganism. Conference on Emergent Approaches to Human Sociality and Religion. Tempe, Arizona. Oct. 6, 2013, https://ssrn.com/abstract=4332962

2012

• ST Shutters (2012) Conflict, Collapse, Networks, and Governance: 20,000,000 Humans in a Virtual Petri Dish. ASU Working Paper, doi:10.13140/2.1.3922.0803
• ST Shutters, R Muneepeerakul (2012) Agricultural trade networks and patterns of economic development. PLoS ONE 7(7):e39756, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0039756
• ST Shutters (2012) Punishment leads to cooperative behavior in structured societies. Evolutionary Computation 20(2):301-319, doi:10.1162/EVCO_a_00062

2011

• ST Shutters, M Halás (2011) From cells to states: A unifying framework of social relativity. European Consortium for Political Research 2011 General Conference, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland. Aug. 27, 2011, doi:10.13140/2.1.1990.9126

2010

• ST Shutters (2010) From terrorism to environmental management: A novel assessment of network robustness using triad analysis. doi:10.13140/2.1.4647.0088

2009

• ST Shutters (2009) Strong Reciprocity, Social Structure, and the Evolution of Cooperative Behavior. Doctoral Dissertation, School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University. doi:10.13140/2.1.5185.7920
• ST Shutters (2009) Strong reciprocity, social structure, and the evolution of fair allocations in a simulated ultimatum game. Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory 15(2):64-77, doi:10.1007/s10588-008-9053-z
• ST Shutters (2009) Punishment, rational expectations, and relative payoffs in a networked prisoners dilemma. Social Computing and Behavioral Modeling 201-208. H. Liu, J. J. Salerno, and M. J. Young, eds. Springer. Boston. doi:10.1007/978-1-4419-0056-2_25

2008

• ST Shutters, BB Cutts (2008) A simulation model of cultural consensus and persistent conflict. Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Computational Cultural Dynamics 71-78. V.S. Subrahamanian and A. Kruglanski, eds. AAAI Press. Menlo Park, California. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-37210-0_11

2006

• ST Shutters, RC Balling, Jr (2006) Weekly cycling of environmental variables in Phoenix, Arizona. Atmospheric Environment 40(2):304-310, doi:0.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.09.037

1998

• ST Shutters, A Gitch (1998) Maximizing order entry efficiency using standard value rule sets. In Oracle Applications User Group Fall 1998 USA Conference Proceedings. OAUG. San Diego.

1997

• ST Shutters, D Richards (1997) Facing the challenges of changing fiscal year. In Oracle Applications Users Group Fall 1997 USA Conference Proceedings. OAUG. Orlando, Florida.